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Nova vs Legacy: The number's dont lie [Performance Analysis]

Market commentary

Compare Nova vs Legacy trading portfolios. Nova achieved 77.1% CAGR with 11.17% drawdown vs Legacy's 43.4% CAGR with 26.67% drawdown. See which performs better.

Recent Performance Snapshot

Recently, our Legacy portfolio reached an all-time high, riding January's trends.

In this short burst, it outperformed everything else, including our Nova portfolio.

However, a system's performance can't be measured by just 1 or 2 months of trading.

To do that reliably, we need at least 6 months of live results or more.

So, let's compare the Nova and Legacy portfolios head-to-head over a longer period and see the differences.

The Numbers Don't Lie

As shown in the following screenshot, since June 2025, our Legacy portfolio has achieved an average annual return (CAGR) of 1.0305^12-1=43.4%, with a drawdown of 26.67%,

Nova vs Legacy: The number's dont lie [Performance Analysis], image 1

That's far from the best Legacy account we have, but we'll use it for reference.

In the same period, Nova achieved a much higher CAGR of 1.0488^12-1=77.1%, with a much lower drawdown of only 11.17%,

Nova vs Legacy: The number's dont lie [Performance Analysis], image 2

Risk-Adjusted Performance

When we adjust profitability for the drawdown in the same period, it's 43.4%/26.67%=1.63 for Legacy and 77.1%/11.17%=6.90.

1.63 vs. 6.90!

Nova shows clear superiority here.

The question is whether this will always be true.

Of course, nobody knows the future, but we have some thoughts.

How Each System Works

Nova has been designed to be an "all-weather" portfolio.

First, it carefully analyzes the current market microstructure to understand the context.

Then it selectively employs only those systems that tend to perform better in that context.

On the other hand, the Legacy portfolio primarily targets short-term trends.

When we have an abundance of such trends, as in 2024 or January 2026, we see significant outperformance relative to Nova and almost everything else.

However, when the market is less certain and lacks many short-term trend opportunities, it tends to underperform relative to Nova.

The Verdict

So, which one is better?

The answer depends on the current market context.

If the market is favorable for short-term trends, it's Legacy.

But when the market is different, it's Nova.

Since both have been shown to be profitable in the long run, we keep both of these systems

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Best,
The Algocrat AI Team

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